As Reported. Monday, the seventh of September. Labor Day. The United States sank one Iranian tanker and crippled two more after the Revolutionary Guard fired missiles at an American carrier, and Iran's chief negotiator says the era of proportionate responses is over. The President's envoys spent three hours with Putin on Saturday and a day with Zelensky on Sunday, and left Kyiv talking about a three-way meeting. In Germany, a far-right party won a state election outright for the first time since the war, with forty-four percent of the vote on the provisional count. Canada's tariffs on twenty-seven billion dollars of American goods take effect at midnight. Friday's jobs number was three times the forecast, and the market now expects the Fed to raise rates next week, seven weeks before the midterms. An Amazon cargo jet ran off the runway in Miami on Sunday afternoon, struck cars on a road and caught fire; five people are dead. Tesla put driverless cabs with no steering wheel on the streets of Austin, and federal regulators opened an investigation within hours. In Nepal, two engineers walked out of a hydropower tunnel alive nine days after the flood. And the C D C's count makes this the worst American measles year since nineteen ninety-one, while Reuters reports the Health Secretary asked for two deaths to be taken off the public tally. Now, the world. The war with Iran, on its hundred and ninety-second day, has become a war over tankers. On Saturday, after the Revolutionary Guard launched ballistic missiles toward an American aircraft carrier and a destroyer — missiles Central Command says were evaded, and the Guard says caused damage and sent the ships fleeing, with no evidence offered for either — American forces hit three Iranian crude carriers: one off Kharg Island, the terminal that carried nine tenths of Iran's oil before the war; one near Jask; and one in the Gulf of Oman, which sank. Admiral Brad Cooper's rule was stated for the record: "If you shoot at two of our ships, we will impose an even higher economic cost — taking out three of yours." The Guard answered with video of its own projectiles striking ships in the strait and a claim to have hit an American sea drone, and on Sunday said it had targeted three more tankers and three American-linked vessels in the strait, warning ships off any route it has not authorised — claims, none confirmed by Central Command. The same day its parliament speaker and chief negotiator, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, told members that "the era of proportionate responses has come to an end" and that the next answer would be "faster, heavier and more painful." Late on Sunday the secretary of Iran's national security council, Mohsen Rezaei, said a "restricted zone" would be declared outside the strait in the coming days, taking in parts of the Gulf — announced, not yet drawn. Central Command's count of its blockade, given Sunday: ninety-two ships turned back, three disabled, two boarded. No new strikes were reported overnight. Why it matters is money, on both sides. Iran cannot get crude past the blockade — its own officials confirm it — and is selling down what it parked in floating storage before the blockade closed; the Treasury Secretary said on Sunday there are perhaps thirty million barrels left that China has not bought. Tehran stood up an "economic war headquarters" the same day, and Ghalibaf conceded inflation, unemployment and a collapsing exchange rate in the speech that promised heavier strikes. On the American side the cost is at the pump: diesel at a record five dollars eighty-five, gasoline a dollar above a year ago. Oil opened the week higher on Sunday night: Brent near ninety-seven dollars, its highest since July, after a rise of almost eight percent last week; American crude just over ninety-two. OPEC's producers met on Sunday and left October output unchanged, so no relief is coming from supply. Fifty-seven days from the midterms, with support for the war at thirty-one percent, the President's incentives pull two ways — show resolution, avoid a price spike — and the strait is where they collide. The I A E A's Board opens in Vienna today on a Western draft that would report Iran to the Security Council for the first time in twenty years. The President's envoys went to Kyiv for the first time. Steve Witkoff, who has met Vladimir Putin in the Kremlin repeatedly since last year, and Jared Kushner saw him there again for more than three hours on Saturday — "constructive," said Putin's adviser; no breakthrough, said everyone — and then took the train from Poland to Kyiv on Sunday for their first visit to Ukraine, a day with Volodymyr Zelensky that Witkoff called "substantive" and left him "very encouraged." Both capitals agreed not to strike the other while the Americans were in town. Washington wants a three-way meeting and an end to the war before winter, and Zelensky said Ukraine "must do everything possible" to make one happen; Ukraine's intelligence chief, Kyrylo Budanov, said Russia will not be ready to negotiate seriously before next spring or summer. Nothing was announced overnight; a White House official said the next steps would be "announced in the coming weeks." The Alternative for Germany won Sunday's election in the eastern state of Saxony-Anhalt with forty-four percent of the vote on the provisional count, with almost every district in — more than double the Chancellor's Christian Democrats at seventeen — the first time a far-right party has won a German state election since the Second World War. It took thirty-eight of the forty-one districts and thirty-nine of the eighty-three seats; forty-two is a majority. Turnout was seventy-six percent, up from sixty. Every other party keeps the "firewall" against governing with it, so the likeliest result is a parliament that cannot form a government at all. What it means beyond Magdeburg: the AfD now leads the polls nationally, and Friedrich Merz's coalition in Berlin has to decide whether the firewall holds when the alternative is no government in a state. At one minute past midnight tonight, Canada's counter-tariffs take effect — the twenty-seven point six billion dollar list of American goods announced last month, at fifteen, twenty-five or fifty percent, each rate set to mirror the one Washington put on the matching Canadian product. Steel, aluminium, dairy, appliances, farm equipment, paper and electronics are on the list; fish and seafood were taken off it at the end of August. Mark Carney has said talks resume when the Americans "stop doing memes, stop throwing shade and stop trying to be tough"; his investment summit in Toronto is next Monday. The oil deal signed in Caracas on Wednesday is now being fought over on three fronts. The terms, as the White House has filled them in: a private company led by the Venezuelan businessman Alejandro Betancourt gets hundred-year rights over seventeen fields holding about sixty-five billion barrels, a fifth of Venezuela's reserves; the Pentagon's strategic-capital office takes thirty-five percent of that company; the United States may buy a fifth of the output at cost; Betancourt's company promises a hundred billion dollars of investment; Venezuela keeps between sixteen and forty percent of production depending on the field. Over the weekend, two senior Republicans said publicly that an oil agreement cannot substitute for the elections Washington promised after Maduro's capture — Senator Ted Cruz, who wants a vote no later than the middle of next year, and Representative María Elvira Salazar of Florida; House Republicans told reporters they see no timetable for one. María Corina Machado, the opposition leader, questioned whether a deal with what she calls Delcy Rodríguez's "illegitimate regime" can give investors legal certainty — while taking care not to oppose the deal itself. Marco Rubio spent the week defending both Rodríguez and Betancourt to a Venezuelan audience. Chevron, separately, has agreed with Caracas to invest more than seven billion dollars over five years to roughly double its Venezuelan output. Gaza. In Kyiv on Sunday, Kushner said the Israeli government is acting "a little irrational in certain regards" on Gaza because of next month's election, while agreeing with it on the end state. The plan he is pushing — Hamas and every other armed group decommissioned, paired with an Israeli withdrawal — is stalled on Israeli opposition. Eight Muslim-majority states, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Turkey and Qatar among them, warned in a joint statement that statements promoting emigration from Gaza will have "grave consequences." Israeli strikes on vehicles in Gaza City on Sunday killed at least four, two of them children, according to health officials there. And briefly. In Yemen, the Houthis' ground push toward the Bab al-Mandeb strait — the heaviest fighting there in years — had killed more than a hundred and twenty people by Friday, on the counts both sides gave A F P, and closed two Saudi airports. Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon on Sunday, after what Israel said were two Hezbollah drones, killed seven people on the health ministry's count; Lebanon's president called it "a dangerous escalation." Taiwan tracked twenty-one Chinese military aircraft and fifteen ships around the island over the weekend, and thirteen warships overnight, seventeen days before Xi Jinping's state visit to Washington. As reported by Central Command, the Treasury Department, TankerTrackers, OPEC, Saxony-Anhalt's provisional count, Canada's Department of Finance, the White House, Lebanon's health ministry, Taiwan's defence ministry, A F P, Al Jazeera, N P R, Bloomberg, C N N, A B C News, C N B C, the Times of Israel and Reuters. Now, the United States. Markets are closed today, which gives a week's pricing to Friday's number: a hundred and sixty-two thousand jobs added in August, against the fifty-three thousand forecast. With inflation already running hot — three point seven percent on the Fed's preferred measure in July, pushed up by oil — a strong labour market makes a rate rise at next week's meeting more likely than not — about sixty percent, on the futures market's pricing on Friday; the day before, the odds were even. Two-year yields, the ones that follow the Fed, jumped to four point three seven percent; the ten-year, which mortgages follow, sits near four point seven eight. Stocks fell on the news, the S and P by four tenths of a percent. A hike would be the first of this cycle, and it would land seven weeks before an election in which the President's approval is at thirty-three percent and his economic adviser is calling high prices "a very short-term thing." The one number that can still change the Fed's mind is Friday's consumer price index. At the pump, regular gasoline is four dollars fifteen, a dollar above a year ago, and diesel is at a record. That is a description of where things stand, not advice about what to do with them. Miami. Five people are dead and five in hospital, three of them critical, after an Amazon Prime Air cargo jet — a Boeing seven hundred sixty-seven flown by the contractor twenty-one Air, in from San Juan — ran off the end of the runway at Miami International just before two on Sunday afternoon, crossed a road, struck several vehicles and caught fire. Miami-Dade's mayor gave the count on Sunday evening; no names have been released. Some of the victims had to be cut out of the cars. The jet left the runway at about a hundred and thirty miles an hour, on Flightradar24's preliminary data. More than sixty fire-rescue units responded; every runway closed for hours on the holiday weekend, and two of four had reopened by evening. The safety board's team, led by its chair, is on the way, and holds its first briefing in Miami today. Nothing is yet known about the cause. Ohio. A man carrying two pistols and a taser lunged at Amy Acton, the Democratic candidate for governor, at a county fair near Youngstown on Sunday, knocking several people over on the way to her; she was not hurt, and he is in the county jail on assault and disorderly-conduct charges. Her Republican opponent, Vivek Ramaswamy, called it "completely unacceptable." The campaign, and the data centres. The one thing both parties are buying ads about is data centres. N P R's count of ad spending since January: more than forty-five million dollars on ads that mention them, split almost evenly — twenty-two million for Republican candidates, twenty-one for Democrats, who ran nearly twice as many spots across more states. The argument is the same from both sides: too many tax breaks, higher electricity bills. A Reuters/Ipsos poll in June found seventy-seven percent of Americans worried about data centres raising their power bills, and half of Republicans and two thirds of Democrats would oppose one in their own town. Wisconsin and Michigan are where the ads cluster. Congress returns this week to a war-powers clock that ran out while it was away, a resolution from Senator Schiff awaiting a motion — the last vote to end the war failed forty-nine to fifty in July — and a war supplemental of eighty-seven billion dollars that has not moved. Neither the Army nor the Navy has a confirmed secretary. The Pentagon. The New York Times reports some fifty members of the Joint Staff were polygraphed in August over leaks about interceptor stocks; the President called the reporting "treasonous" and said ammunition is "virtually unlimited." The Pentagon does not comment on investigations. As reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, C M E futures, the Federal Aviation Administration, Miami-Dade County, the National Transportation Safety Board, Flightradar24, the Acton campaign, the Pentagon, N P R, Reuters, the New York Times, C N B C, A B C News and A P. Now, A I and technology. On Friday, Tesla put the first Cybercabs on the streets of Austin — driverless, no steering wheel, no pedals, no mirrors — as a paid service. Within hours, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration opened an audit of how Tesla certified that a car without manual controls meets federal safety standards, which still require them; the inquiry covers about a thousand vehicles. The Transportation Department has proposed dropping the manual-control rules for vehicles built to drive themselves, but has not done so. The last company to reach this point, Zoox, spent four years in the same kind of review. So the question for the next month is not whether the cars work but whether Tesla can self-certify its way past a rule that still exists; the answer decides whether a thousand cabs stay on the road. Nothing about the cars' driving is in the regulator's notice; it is about paperwork, which in this industry is where deployments stop. Uber, meanwhile, has put a hundred million dollars into Travis Kalanick's company Atoms, which TechCrunch reports is building robotaxi technology — and which says it is an industrial-software company with no plans to run cabs. The model week. A note: the voice you are hearing is made by one of the companies in this story. All four of the largest American labs shipped new systems last week — Anthropic, Meta, Google and OpenAI, whose G P T-six Astra the company calls its most capable yet and the start of "the A G I era"; no independent evaluation has been published, and paying customers were angry enough about a staged rollout that Sam Altman apologised. Google's version was Gmail, Docs and Keep in voice mode, on paid plans, on phones, in English. Microsoft priced its new transcription model at ten cents an audio hour through the end of the year, and named OpenAI, Google and ElevenLabs — the company whose voice you are hearing — as the rivals it undercuts. C N B C's name for the week was "model fatigue." Nvidia agreed to buy Hugging Face, where most open models are published, for about thirteen billion dollars; the deal closes next year if regulators allow it, and none has yet said anything. Nvidia is the first five-trillion-dollar company; Hugging Face says eighteen million developers use it. Its Taiwanese assembler Hon Hai reported sales up fifty-two percent on A I servers. The money behind the week. OpenAI says its advertising business reached a billion dollars a year in run rate within two hundred days, and is discussed as a fourth-quarter listing near eight hundred and fifty billion; the Financial Times reports Anthropic is preparing what could be a two-trillion-dollar listing. Both are reports; neither has filed. Broadcom, which supplies both, fell two and a half percent on Thursday on its forecast rather than its results — the market grading A I's suppliers on what comes next. As reported by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, Nvidia's S E C filing, company announcements, TechCrunch, C N B C and Bloomberg. Now, nature and climate. Two engineers, Sanjay Sah and Kabir Maharjan, were pulled alive from the Trishuli 3A hydropower tunnel nine days after the flood, and a Chinese worker and a Nepali woman were found alive in the wreckage the day after. One of the tunnel survivors told the army others were alive further in; more than five hundred workers from that one project are still missing, about a hundred and fifteen of them thought to have been in the main tunnel when the water came. That is why the search, on its fourteenth day, has not been called off. Nepal's count, last updated on Saturday, stands at one thousand three hundred and forty-two dead and nearly twelve thousand rescued; across both sides of the border more than five thousand people are unaccounted for, hundreds of them foreign nationals. Teams from India, China, South Korea and the United States are on the site with an Australian drone unit. The cause, per the U S Geological Survey, was a glacier collapse, not an earthquake; the early-warning gauges were swept away before they could send. Nepal's damage estimate doubled last week to four hundred billion rupees, and its finance minister puts rebuilding at four to five billion dollars; the Gyirong crossing, which carried about thirty percent of Nepal's trade with China, is gone for the second time in thirteen months, and thirteen hydropower plants are damaged. Indonesia. Anak Krakatau, the volcano that grew out of the sea in the crater Krakatoa left in eighteen eighty-three, has been erupting since Friday night, and by Sunday its ash had closed eight airports including Jakarta's, more than a hundred and fifty kilometres away. The transport ministry counts fifteen hundred and fifty-eight flights delayed or cancelled, more than nine hundred of them at Jakarta, and about a hundred and seventy thousand passengers stranded; Jakarta's schools are online today. The disaster agency says there is no tsunami risk — the same volcano's collapse in twenty eighteen sent one that killed more than four hundred — and plans to seed clouds to wash the ash out. The Atlantic has still not produced a hurricane, its slowest start in sixty years, as a strong El Niño builds; the season's statistical peak is Thursday. Munich Re puts global disaster losses for the first half of the year at about a hundred and twelve billion dollars, most of it American storms. Europe's fire year is on course to be among the worst in the satellite record, on the E U's Copernicus count, after August blazes in Spain and France. As reported by Nepal's disaster authority, the U S Geological Survey, Indonesia's transport ministry and disaster agency, Munich Re, Copernicus, Al Jazeera, C N N and the Kathmandu Post. Now, health and longevity. The C D C's count of three thousand one hundred and thirty-four cases makes two thousand twenty-six the worst American measles year since the resurgence of nineteen eighty-nine to ninety-one. Ninety-four percent of cases are in people unvaccinated or of unknown status; two hundred and forty-eight have been hospitalised; Pennsylvania alone has five hundred and seventy-seven cases in one outbreak. Kindergarten coverage has fallen to ninety-two and a half percent, which the agency says leaves about two hundred and eighty thousand children unprotected. The count leaves out two deaths Pennsylvania reported in August, which the C D C says it is still reviewing — and Reuters reports that Health Secretary Kennedy asked his new C D C director to remove the reference to those deaths from the public tally. That is a Reuters report; the department has not confirmed it. Last year's total recorded three deaths. Ebola. The outbreak in eastern Congo is the second-largest ever recorded: six thousand three hundred and forty-two cases and three thousand and seventy-two deaths as of Thursday, a fatality rate near fifty percent. It is the Bundibugyo strain, for which there is no licensed vaccine; the Zaire-strain vaccine started going into health workers last week inside a trial because nobody knows whether it works against this one. The W H O rates the risk to the rest of the world as low. Uganda's outbreak was declared over after forty-two days without a case. Obesity pills. Two are now on the American market — Novo's Wegovy pill, approved in December, and Lilly's Foundayo, which unlike Novo's can be taken with food. Prescriptions through Friday stood at roughly a hundred and eighty-one thousand and forty-four thousand respectively. In their trials the pills cut weight by thirteen point six and eleven point two percent, over different periods and in trials of different sizes; that is not a head-to-head comparison. The F D A approved the first treatment for Alexander disease on Friday, a rare and fatal neurological disorder of childhood with no therapy until now. And the season ahead: the C D C expects influenza, COVID and R S V together to put hundreds of thousands of Americans in hospital this autumn; the vaccine-policy stay from March, which froze the rewritten childhood schedule, still stands, and H H S's appeal is pending. As reported by the C D C, the World Health Organization, the F D A, Reuters and Al Jazeera. And the week ahead, in date order. Today: American markets closed for Labor Day; oil is already trading, and its first reading of the weekend was up. The I A E A Board opens in Vienna on the draft to report Iran to the Security Council. The safety board's first briefing on the Miami crash. Congress returns. Canada's tariffs from midnight. Also this week: the Treasury Secretary's promised third bank designation; whatever Witkoff announces on a three-way meeting; whether Saxony-Anhalt can form a government. Tuesday: the weekly slot is A I and work. Wednesday: the C D C's weekly measles count, and the planet tracker. Thursday: the statistical peak of the Atlantic season, with no hurricane yet; the longevity slot. Friday, eight-thirty Eastern: the consumer price index for August, the last inflation reading before the Fed. World Health's Ebola bulletin is due around Friday. Next week: Canada's investment summit in Toronto, Monday and Tuesday; the Fed on the sixteenth and seventeenth, with futures pricing a rise; the Security Council's vote on its Iran sanctions panel on the seventeenth; an F D A decision on the eighteenth. Further out: Xi Jinping's state visit to Washington on the twenty-fourth; Iraq's deadline for coalition forces, the thirtieth; Israel votes on the twenty-seventh of October; the United States on the third of November, fifty-seven days from today. Tomorrow's weekly slot is A I and work. That was As Reported, written and read by A I. Every source named.